The Lifelock.com 400
The NASCAR Sprint Cup Series moves to Chicagoland Speedway for the 19th race of the 2010 season, the LifeLock.com 400. NASCAR Fantasy Cheat Sheet's Brian Brown took a look at past performances, season trends, and spoke to team contacts to predict how the field should finish on Saturday.
When: Saturday, July 10, 2010; 7:46 p.m./et.
Weather: Sunny with a high around 84; wind out of the NNE at 8 mph. Chance of precipitation is zero percent.
The Track: Chicagoland Speedway
Chicagoland is a 1.5-mile tri-oval. It has 18 degree banking on the corners with 11 degree banking on the front straightaway and five degree banking on the back straightaway. Roush Fenway is tough to beat on most 1.5 mile tracks, but the team has yet to win a race at Chicagoland. Look for Tony Stewart, Kyle Busch, and the Hendrick Boys to be very strong on Saturday.
Key to Race: QUICK OUT OF THE PITS
As is the key with most 1.5 mile tracks tire-wear and pit stops will be a key to Saturday's race. Look for the drivers with the best location of their pit stall to have a big advantage in the race.
Qualifying Procedures:
47 cars will attempt to qualify for 43 spots. Cars not in the top 35 in the 2010 owner point standings will have to qualify based on speed. Starting positions 1-43 will be determined by qualifying runs on Friday, July 9 at 6:00 pm/et.
Fantasy Cheat Sheet:
Top 5
No. 29 Kevin Harvick: Chicagoland is one of Harvick's top tracks. He has two career wins and could easily make it three this weekend.
No. 48 Jimmie Johnson: Johnson has been awesome at Chicagoland. In eight races at the track he has finished outside the top six just twice. He is a strong candidate to find victory lane on Saturday.
No. 18 Kyle Busch: Busch has finished worse than 14th just once in five career starts (including a 2008 win) at Chicagoland. He will have no problem finishing inside the top five this weekend.
No. 17 Matt Kenseth: Kenseth has led 296 laps in the past five races at Chicagoland. He has as good of a chance to win as anybody.
No. 14 Tony Stewart: Stewart has finished no worse than seventh in seven of the last eight Chicagoland races.
6 to 10
No. 24 Jeff Gordon: Gordon has five top five finishes in nine career starts at Chicagoland. He is a great option.
No. 33 Clint Bowyer: Bowyer has cracked the top 10 in three of his four career starts at Chicagoland. He is a great third car on most fantasy teams.
No. 11 Denny Hamlin: Hamlin is usually a good shoe on intermediate tracks and this weekend should be no different.
No. 16 Greg Biffle: Biffle has finished in the top 11 in four of the past five starts at Chicagoland. He is a top 10 option again.
No. 88 Dale Earnhardt Jr.: Junior won the 2005 race at Chicagoland. He should crack the top 10 again.
11 to 20
No. 2 Kurt Busch: Busch has five top 10 finishes in nine career starts at Chicagoland. He will just miss the top 10 this trip.
No. 39 Ryan Newman: Newman has three top six finishes, including a win, in eight career starts in Joliet. He will have a strong car again, but will finish just outside the top 10.
No. 31 Jeff Burton: Burton has been excellent in two of the past four Chicagoland races. He is a fine choice to make the top 15.
No. 9 Kasey Kahne: Kahne's had his best career finish at Chicagoland last year when he finished third. This is a good weekend to use the Budman.
No. 43 A.J. Allmendinger: A.J. finished 13th in both career starts at Chicagoland. If he can overcome the spat he had with the King last weekend he will be a great choice.
No. 5 Mark Martin: Martin won last year's race at Chicagoland, but the veteran driver is struggling a bit this season. We wouldn't anchor our team with him this trip to Joliet.
No. 99 Carl Edwards: Edwards has just one top 13 finish at Chicagoland in his career. This isn't a great weekend to use No. 99.
No. 42 Juan Pablo Montoya: Montoya has finished in the top 20 in all three of his starts at Chicagoland. He is an option in every league.
No. 20 Joey Logano: Look for Logano to improve on the 18th place finish he had at Chicagoland last season.
No. 00 David Reutimann: Reutimann's success at Joliet has been mostly positive. He finished 12th last year, 14th in 2008 and blew an engine in 2007.
21 to 30
No. 83 Reed Sorenson: Chicagoland is Sorenson's best track. He has sleeper potential.
No. 6 David Ragan: Ragan has averaged a 19th place finish at Chicagoland. He should finish right around his average on Saturday.
No. 56 Martin Truex Jr.: Even though he blew an engine during the 2007 race, Truex has been fast in all four of his starts at Chicagoland. He is a decent pick.
No.12 Brad Keselowski: Keselowski continues to have some rookie struggles. He won't be a top 20 driver until his third trip to Joliet next year.
No. 98 Paul Menard: Menard has finished inside the top 30 the past 10 races this season. He is a decent fifth driver for those of you in deeper leagues.
No. 47 Marcos Ambrose: Ambrose has been wildly inconsistent this season. He isn't a fantasy recommendation until he can finish strong in consecutive races.
No. 82 Scott Speed: Speed had a great qualifying effort last year in Joliet, but struggled during the race. He should be fast in race-trim this year.
No. 19 Elliott Sadler: Sadler hasn't been great at Joliet during his career. He should crack the top 30, but won't help your fantasy team.
No. 1 Jamie McMurray: McMurray has been terrible the past five races at Chicagoland. He is to be avoided.
No. 09 Bobby Labonte: Labonte has finished in the top 21 in six of his nine career starts at Chicagoland. He isn't a bad fifth driver in most fantasy leagues.
31 to 35
No. 77 Sam Hornish Jr.: Hornish Jr. had one of the worst cars on the track the past two races at Chicagoland. This isn't the weekend to take a chance on Mr. Hornish.
No. 7 Robby Gordon: Gordon won't help your fantasy team this weekend.
No. 78 Regan Smith: Smith is trying to drive with a broken wrist. It hasn't gone well for him the past three races.
No. 71 Andy Lally: Lally is a road course specialist that gets a chance to drive the No. 71 this weekend.
No. 37 David Gilliland: Gilliland doesn't have much of a chance in the No. 37 ride.
Field Fillers
No. 21 Bill Elliott
No. 13 Max Papis
No. 37 David Gilliland
No. 34 Kevin Conway
No. 26 David Stremme
No. 38 Travis Kvapil
No. 55 Michael McDowell
No. 87 Joe Nemechek
No. 36 Casey Mears
No. 46 J.J. Yeley
No. 32 Mike Bliss
No. 64 Todd Bodine
No. 66 Dave Blaney
Brownie's Picks
Top Four:
1. Kevin Harvick
2. Jimmie Johnson
3. Kyle Busch
4. Matt Kenseth
Sleepers:
1. A.J. Allmendinger
2. Reed Sorenson
Bust of the Week:
Jamie McMurray
The NASCAR Sprint Cup Series moves to Chicagoland Speedway for the 19th race of the 2010 season, the LifeLock.com 400. NASCAR Fantasy Cheat Sheet's Brian Brown took a look at past performances, season trends, and spoke to team contacts to predict how the field should finish on Saturday.
When: Saturday, July 10, 2010; 7:46 p.m./et.
Weather: Sunny with a high around 84; wind out of the NNE at 8 mph. Chance of precipitation is zero percent.
The Track: Chicagoland Speedway
Chicagoland is a 1.5-mile tri-oval. It has 18 degree banking on the corners with 11 degree banking on the front straightaway and five degree banking on the back straightaway. Roush Fenway is tough to beat on most 1.5 mile tracks, but the team has yet to win a race at Chicagoland. Look for Tony Stewart, Kyle Busch, and the Hendrick Boys to be very strong on Saturday.
Key to Race: QUICK OUT OF THE PITS
As is the key with most 1.5 mile tracks tire-wear and pit stops will be a key to Saturday's race. Look for the drivers with the best location of their pit stall to have a big advantage in the race.
Qualifying Procedures:
47 cars will attempt to qualify for 43 spots. Cars not in the top 35 in the 2010 owner point standings will have to qualify based on speed. Starting positions 1-43 will be determined by qualifying runs on Friday, July 9 at 6:00 pm/et.
Fantasy Cheat Sheet:
Top 5
No. 29 Kevin Harvick: Chicagoland is one of Harvick's top tracks. He has two career wins and could easily make it three this weekend.
No. 48 Jimmie Johnson: Johnson has been awesome at Chicagoland. In eight races at the track he has finished outside the top six just twice. He is a strong candidate to find victory lane on Saturday.
No. 18 Kyle Busch: Busch has finished worse than 14th just once in five career starts (including a 2008 win) at Chicagoland. He will have no problem finishing inside the top five this weekend.
No. 17 Matt Kenseth: Kenseth has led 296 laps in the past five races at Chicagoland. He has as good of a chance to win as anybody.
No. 14 Tony Stewart: Stewart has finished no worse than seventh in seven of the last eight Chicagoland races.
6 to 10
No. 24 Jeff Gordon: Gordon has five top five finishes in nine career starts at Chicagoland. He is a great option.
No. 33 Clint Bowyer: Bowyer has cracked the top 10 in three of his four career starts at Chicagoland. He is a great third car on most fantasy teams.
No. 11 Denny Hamlin: Hamlin is usually a good shoe on intermediate tracks and this weekend should be no different.
No. 16 Greg Biffle: Biffle has finished in the top 11 in four of the past five starts at Chicagoland. He is a top 10 option again.
No. 88 Dale Earnhardt Jr.: Junior won the 2005 race at Chicagoland. He should crack the top 10 again.
11 to 20
No. 2 Kurt Busch: Busch has five top 10 finishes in nine career starts at Chicagoland. He will just miss the top 10 this trip.
No. 39 Ryan Newman: Newman has three top six finishes, including a win, in eight career starts in Joliet. He will have a strong car again, but will finish just outside the top 10.
No. 31 Jeff Burton: Burton has been excellent in two of the past four Chicagoland races. He is a fine choice to make the top 15.
No. 9 Kasey Kahne: Kahne's had his best career finish at Chicagoland last year when he finished third. This is a good weekend to use the Budman.
No. 43 A.J. Allmendinger: A.J. finished 13th in both career starts at Chicagoland. If he can overcome the spat he had with the King last weekend he will be a great choice.
No. 5 Mark Martin: Martin won last year's race at Chicagoland, but the veteran driver is struggling a bit this season. We wouldn't anchor our team with him this trip to Joliet.
No. 99 Carl Edwards: Edwards has just one top 13 finish at Chicagoland in his career. This isn't a great weekend to use No. 99.
No. 42 Juan Pablo Montoya: Montoya has finished in the top 20 in all three of his starts at Chicagoland. He is an option in every league.
No. 20 Joey Logano: Look for Logano to improve on the 18th place finish he had at Chicagoland last season.
No. 00 David Reutimann: Reutimann's success at Joliet has been mostly positive. He finished 12th last year, 14th in 2008 and blew an engine in 2007.
21 to 30
No. 83 Reed Sorenson: Chicagoland is Sorenson's best track. He has sleeper potential.
No. 6 David Ragan: Ragan has averaged a 19th place finish at Chicagoland. He should finish right around his average on Saturday.
No. 56 Martin Truex Jr.: Even though he blew an engine during the 2007 race, Truex has been fast in all four of his starts at Chicagoland. He is a decent pick.
No.12 Brad Keselowski: Keselowski continues to have some rookie struggles. He won't be a top 20 driver until his third trip to Joliet next year.
No. 98 Paul Menard: Menard has finished inside the top 30 the past 10 races this season. He is a decent fifth driver for those of you in deeper leagues.
No. 47 Marcos Ambrose: Ambrose has been wildly inconsistent this season. He isn't a fantasy recommendation until he can finish strong in consecutive races.
No. 82 Scott Speed: Speed had a great qualifying effort last year in Joliet, but struggled during the race. He should be fast in race-trim this year.
No. 19 Elliott Sadler: Sadler hasn't been great at Joliet during his career. He should crack the top 30, but won't help your fantasy team.
No. 1 Jamie McMurray: McMurray has been terrible the past five races at Chicagoland. He is to be avoided.
No. 09 Bobby Labonte: Labonte has finished in the top 21 in six of his nine career starts at Chicagoland. He isn't a bad fifth driver in most fantasy leagues.
31 to 35
No. 77 Sam Hornish Jr.: Hornish Jr. had one of the worst cars on the track the past two races at Chicagoland. This isn't the weekend to take a chance on Mr. Hornish.
No. 7 Robby Gordon: Gordon won't help your fantasy team this weekend.
No. 78 Regan Smith: Smith is trying to drive with a broken wrist. It hasn't gone well for him the past three races.
No. 71 Andy Lally: Lally is a road course specialist that gets a chance to drive the No. 71 this weekend.
No. 37 David Gilliland: Gilliland doesn't have much of a chance in the No. 37 ride.
Field Fillers
No. 21 Bill Elliott
No. 13 Max Papis
No. 37 David Gilliland
No. 34 Kevin Conway
No. 26 David Stremme
No. 38 Travis Kvapil
No. 55 Michael McDowell
No. 87 Joe Nemechek
No. 36 Casey Mears
No. 46 J.J. Yeley
No. 32 Mike Bliss
No. 64 Todd Bodine
No. 66 Dave Blaney
Brownie's Picks
Top Four:
1. Kevin Harvick
2. Jimmie Johnson
3. Kyle Busch
4. Matt Kenseth
Sleepers:
1. A.J. Allmendinger
2. Reed Sorenson
Bust of the Week:
Jamie McMurray